Initial polls indicate varying fortunes for the parties across five regional elections, highlighting regional disparities. In Baden-Württemberg, the CDU narrowly missed the top position, while in Rheinland-Pfalz, it has regained the lead after 35 years. The upcoming election in Sachsen-Anhalt on September 6 will be critical, as the AfD aims for its first governing role, having secured 30.5% in the 2024 European elections and 37.1% in the 2025 Bundestag elections.